All of our depending variable is the natural log out-of solitary-many years, relationship rates having widows within age of fifty and 70
ln ( marriage rate age , year ) = ? + ? ? ( year ) + ? ? ( year * at least age 60 dummy age , year ) + ? ? ( age ) + ? , where < age>
The separate parameters include solitary-seasons decades dummies, as we age fifty omitted; and you will a communication between your ages dummies and you can whether or not the big date several months is 1979 otherwise later on. This enables the latest habits in-marriage cost to vary given that widows approach years sixty.
The outcomes with the regression come in the beds base panel regarding Shape step 3 and you may Appendix Dining table dos. Regarding pre- and you may post-1979 legislation transform symptoms, the fresh new fashion in-marriage costs in accordance with the newest standard ages of 50 years, try statistically an identical for all a long time around and you will such as the 58-year-old widows. not, about blog post-1979 rules period, 59-year-old widows try apparently less inclined to wed (101 % below fifty-year-olds ) compared to the pre-1979 rules months (86 % lower than fifty-year-olds ). Conditional on committed pattern, all the many years groups at the age sixty years otherwise old are more attending get married on blog post-1979 laws months. This type of distinctions try statistically extreme and show the law reduced the wedding prices off 59-year-olds and you will enhanced the marriage price of women have been at least decades sixty. The price of remarriage any kind of time years significantly more than sixty ages decreased following the law transform, so this raise in the event you was in fact at the very least decades sixty means that women in fact averted wedding till the legislation.
Regarding the post-1979 rules transform months, the wedding rates within ages 58 is 65 % below the wedding speed at the standard years, since matrimony rates is actually 101 percent less than you to within the standard decades for women from the years 59 and you can back once again to 67 percent less than the fresh new baseline decades within ages 60. Each one of jordanian sexiga kvinnor these many years consequences are mathematically different than both at the 1 percent height. Such efficiency highly recommend that the relationships price decreases just like the widows method ages sixty. It was not visible in the 1st set of empirical assessment because we categorized all not as much as decades sixty relationship costs which have a solitary dummy varying.
The beds base committee out-of Shape step 3 reveals an identical however, faster noticable pattern regarding many years until the 1979 rules changes turned into active. The marriage price at many years 59 try 86 percent beneath the baseline ages of fifty, since the wedding rates on age 58 is just 68 per cent beneath the standard years. This difference was statistically extreme within 1 percent height [F(step 1,520)=9.32] . Unlike the article-law period, the age-59 perception is not mathematically diverse from this-sixty impression (84 per cent below the baseline).
Matrimony rates disappear monotonically around years sixty from the blog post-1979 legislation alter period
Figure 4 and you may Appendix Desk 2 show that you can find not similar patterns for divorced feminine. Continual the research presented more than to possess widows, shows no statistical otherwise economic differences between the fresh new pre- and you will blog post-law attacks. In addition, there aren’t any differences when considering the results of the many years 58-, 59-, otherwise 60-year-old dummies. In fact, matrimony cost disappear monotonically to years 60 regarding the post-1979 rules changes months.
I have seasons dummies to make up good secular big date trend in marriage prices, with the excluded group of 1968
Panel Good (descriptive statistics) implies that there aren’t any similar habits for divorced female due to the fact those shown to own widows (Profile 3). The study held during the Profile step 3 (widows) was repeated in the Contour 4 (separated women), exhibiting no analytical or financial differences when considering the fresh new pre- and blog post-law episodes or involving the aftereffects of age 58-, 59-, otherwise sixty-year-dated dummies.
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